Awareness as the Most Effective Measure to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 in Nigeria
Awareness as the Most Effective Measure to Mitigate the Spread of COVID-19 in Nigeria
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DOI：
10.32604/cmc.2020.011508
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发表时间：
2020-01-01
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
Baleanu, Dumitru
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Baba, Isa Abdullahi;Baleanu, Dumitru
建立了一个由四个非线性常微分方程组成的数学模型。我们的目标是研究COVID-19在尼日利亚的传播动态，并表明提高认识的有效性，以及相关当局需要更多地参与启发人们了解现有控制措施在减缓疾病传播方面的重要性。两个平衡解;计算了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点的解，并进行了全局稳定性分析。基本繁殖比R-0 = 3.0784。为尼日利亚获得的数据被用来进行数值模拟，以支持分析结果，并显示在控制疾病传播的意识的重要性。从模拟结果来看，为了减轻COVID-19在尼日利亚的传播，需要开展认真的宣传活动，以启发人们了解可用的控制措施;社交距离，自我隔离，使用个人防护设备（如口罩，手球，整体长袍等），经常用肥皂或消毒剂洗手，避免与出现症状的人接触，并报告任何疑似病例。
A mathematical model consisting of a system of four nonlinear ordinary differential equations is constructed. Our aim is to study the dynamics of the spread of COVID-19 in Nigeria and to show the effectiveness of awareness and the need for relevant authorities to engage themselves more in enlightening people on the significance of the available control measures in mitigating the spread of the disease. Two equilibrium solutions; Disease free equilibrium and Endemic equilibrium solutions were calculated and their global stability analysis was carried out. Basic reproduction ratio (R-0) was also obtained, in this research R-0 = 3.0784. Data obtained for Nigeria is used to conduct numerical simulations in order to support the analytic result and to show the significance of awareness in controlling the disease spread. From the simulation result, it was shown that to mitigate the spread of COVID-19 in Nigeria there is need for serious awareness programs to enlighten people on the available control measures; social distancing, self-isolation, use of personal protective equipment (such as face mask, hand globes, overall gown, etc.), regular hand washing using soap or sanitizer, avoiding having contact with person showing the symptoms and reporting any suspected case.