Bayesian Narrative: Probability, Plot and the Shape of the Fictional World
Bayesian Narrative: Probability, Plot and the Shape of the Fictional World
复制标题
贝叶斯叙事：概率、情节和虚构世界的形状
DOI：
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Karin Kukkonen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Karin Kukkonen
“概率”似乎是文学理论遗忘的术语。回到叙事和文学理论的当前辩论，借鉴了概率的最新进展，贝叶斯的方法是人类认知的不同方面的方法。与文本相遇的方式塑造了读者的概率判断。 （例如伯恩尼小说中与贵族奥维尔的辉煌婚姻）。电子邮件：karin.kukkonen@utu.fi
‘Probability’ seems to be a term forgotten by literary theory. Central to neoclassical and Augustan criticism, probability describes the inferences of readers and their developing discernment of what is likely to happen in a narrative (Patey 1984). This article proposes to bring probability back into the current debates in narratology and literary theory by drawing on recent advances in probabilistic, Bayesian approaches to different aspects of human cognition. Considering the example of Frances Burney’s novel Evelina (1778), it presents a Bayesian model for the analysis of narrative through the ways in which the encounter with the text shapes readers’ probability judgements. A narrative’s ‘probability design’ cues readers to revise ormaintain their expectations for its further development and leads readers to accept outcomes as inevitable that seemed distinctly unlikely at the beginning of the narrative (such as Evelina’s brilliant marriage to the aristocrat Lord Orville in Burney’s novel). Reconsidering narrative from a Bayesian, probabilistic point of view offers new perspectives on the emotional investments of readers in narrative, aswell as plot and verisimilitude. Karin Kukkonen, University of Turku E-Mail: karin.kukkonen@utu.fi
影响因子：
5.4
作者：
Gopnik, A;Glymour, C;Danks, D
通讯作者：
Danks, D