Biological and epidemiological trends in the prevalence and mortality due to outbreaks of novel coronavirus COVID-19
Biological and epidemiological trends in the prevalence and mortality due to outbreaks of novel coronavirus COVID-19
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.jksus.2020.04.004
复制
发表时间：
2020-06-01
影响因子：
3.8
通讯作者：
Hoang, Thanh D.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Meo, Sultan Ayoub;Al-Khlaiwi, Thamir;Hoang, Thanh D.
新型冠状病毒（COVID-19）感染爆发对国际卫生系统和经济构成重大威胁。本研究旨在调查新型冠状病毒（COVID-19）感染爆发导致的患病率和死亡率的生物学和流行病学趋势。COVID-19全球爆发的数据来自世界卫生组织（WHO）、Worldometer、疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）和研究机构。这些信息还来自PubMed和科学信息研究所（ISI）Web of Science索引的全球科学期刊上发表的关于COVID-19感染爆发导致的患病率和死亡率趋势的研究文件。结果显示，新型冠状病毒COVID-19的传播、患病率和死亡率呈上升趋势。在2019年12月29日至2020年3月31日期间，它在全球感染了750，890人，导致36，405人死亡，死亡率为4.84%。60岁以上的男性感染率较高。2020年1月23日至3月31日总病例数平均增长率指数为1.20，死亡率平均增长率指数为1.12。患病率与死亡率呈正相关（R-2 = 0.996）。新型冠状病毒COVID-19具有高度传染性，已影响全球大量人群。它仍在蔓延，流行率和死亡率呈多变的爆发趋势。全球卫生官员已采取优先措施，防止这种新出现的病原体在地球仪各地进一步爆发。然而，病例数量和死亡风险估计的上升表明，加强公共卫生调解、良好的卫生条件、社交距离和行动限制可能会控制COVID-19疫情。(C)2020年，任作家。由Elsevier B. V.代表沙特国王大学出版。
The novel coronavirus (Covid-19) infection outbreak has posed a major threat to the international health system and economy. This study is aimed at investigating the biological and epidemiological trends in the prevalence and mortality due to outbreaks of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infections. The data on the global outbreak of COVID-19, were obtained from World Health Organization (WHO), Worldometer, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and research institutes. The information was also recorded from research documents published in global scientific journals indexed in Pub Med and Institute of Scientific Information (ISI) Web of Science on the trends in the prevalence and mortality due to COVID-19 infection outbreaks. The results show rising trends in the transmission, prevalence and mortality rate due to coronavirus COVID-19. During the period of December 29, 2019 through March 31, 2020, it has infected 750,890 people worldwide, resulting in 36,405 deaths with a mortality rate of 4.84%. The infections were more frequent among male gender over 60 years of age. The mean growth rate index for total number of cases from January 23 to March 31, 2020 was 1.20 and growth rate index for mortality rate was 1.12. There was a positive association between the prevalence and mortality rate (R-2 = 0.996). The novel coronavirus COVID-19 is highly contagious and has affected a large number of people worldwide. It is still spreading with mutable prevalence and mortality outbreak trends. The global health officials have taken priority measures to prevent further outbreaks of this emerging pathogen across the globe. However, the rising number of cases and mortality risk estimates are demonstrating that enhanced public health mediations, good hygienic conditions, social distancing, and movement limitations may control the COVID-19 epidemics. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of King Saud University.