Cold Winters Warming? Perceptions of Climate Change in the North Country

Cold Winters Warming? Perceptions of Climate Change in the North Country
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寒冷的冬天变暖了吗?

DOI:
10.1175/wcas-d-18-0020.1
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
Weather, Climate, and Society
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Curt D. Grimm
Curt D. Grimm
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
L. Hamilton;Mary D. Lemcke;Curt D. Grimm

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在美国,公众对人为气候变化现实的接受度逐渐提高,这反映了科学研究和交流的累积影响,或许也反映了极端天气或熟悉季节变化等经历过的表现。在新英格兰北部的乡村,气候变化的一个主要表现是冬季变暖。 2017 年的一项调查询问了北部地区的居民,他们是否认为最近的冬天比前几十年更温暖。冬季变暖对这个历史上多雪的地区产生了从经济到日常生活的广泛影响,大多数居民(无论男女老幼、受教育程度很少或很高)都认识到这一点,但最保守的人却对此不以为然。尽管我们的冬季问题没有提及气候变化,但回答遵循的模式与随后有关人为气候变化的问题类似。此外,在回答冬季和气候问题时,党派倾向在大多数朋友属于同一政党的人中最为明显。对平凡物理现实的感知的党派限制可能会限制天气或气候体验改变那些政治/社会身份支持拒绝气候变化的人的信念的范围。
Public acceptance of the reality of human-caused climate change has risen gradually in the United States, reflecting cumulative impacts from scientific research and communication, and perhaps also from experienced manifestations such as extreme weather or change to familiar seasons. In the rural North Country of northern New England, a key manifestation of climate change has been warming winters. A 2017 survey asked North Country residents whether they thought that recent winters have been warmer compared with earlier decades. Winter warming, which in this historically snowy region has broad impacts ranging from the economy to everyday life, was recognized by a majority of residents young and old, male and female, with little or much education—but not by the most conservative. Although our winter question does not mention climate change, responses followed patterns similar to a subsequent question about human-caused climate change. Moreover, the partisan gradient in response to both winter and climate questions is steepest among people reporting that most of their friends belong to the same political party. Partisan constraints on perception of a mundane physical reality could limit the scope for weather or climate experiences to alter beliefs among those whose political/social identity favors climate-change rejection.
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