Finding the Missing Tuberculosis Patients
Finding the Missing Tuberculosis Patients
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DOI:
10.1093/infdis/jix368
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发表时间:
2017-10-01
影响因子:
6.4
通讯作者:
Hanson, Christy L.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Chin, Daniel P.;Hanson, Christy L.
Many of the key principles of tuberculosis (TB) control are credited to the work of Karel Styblo, the Dutch epidemiologist. Working in Tanzania, Styblo developed a set of registries to capture information on patients evaluated for TB and then used the registries to monitor and evaluate the performance of early TB control programs [1]. Given the success of his approach, Styblo popularized the use of the cohort analysis to evaluate treatment outcomes. In a cohort analysis, every patient started on treatment is accounted for and assigned a treatment outcome. This countered the common tendency to bias the reporting of treatment outcomes by excluding patients who failed to complete treatment.Although the cohort analysis is widely used by national TB programs (NTPs) today, it does not capture information on TB treatment for every TB patient in a community. The traditional cohort analysis only contains treatment results for patients who are reported to the NTP; thus, the treatment outcomes of TB patients who are treated but not reported to the NTP are not captured. For example, the 2013 Indonesian national TB prevalence survey indicated that two-thirds of treated TB patients were not reported to the NTP [2]. Because those treated outside of the NTP generally have poorer treatment outcomes, a cohort analysis that excludes these cases overestimates the effectiveness of TB treatment in a community. In many countries, there is a high ratio of prevalent to notified TB cases, which suggests that there are, indeed, many unreported TB cases [3]. Beyond treatment, the principles of a cohort analysis can be applied more broadly to other aspects of TB care and prevention. It is equally important to use the rigor and thoroughness of a cohort analysis to evaluate the TB diagnostic process and the linkage to treatment. As the global community works to end the TB epidemic, the most pressing challenge is that> 4 million TB patients each year—40% of all incident cases—are not reported to NTPs [3]. These “missing” patients are either undiagnosed or are diagnosed but not reported. We should prioritize finding these patients