A guideline to limit indoor airborne transmission of COVID-19.
A guideline to limit indoor airborne transmission of COVID-19.
复制标题
限制COVID-19室内空气传播指南。
DOI:
10.1073/pnas.2018995118
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发表时间:
2021-04-27
影响因子:
11.1
通讯作者:
Bush JWM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bazant MZ;Bush JWM
Airborne transmission arises through the inhalation of aerosol droplets exhaled by an infected person and is now thought to be the primary transmission route of COVID-19. By assuming that the respiratory droplets are mixed uniformly through an indoor space, we derive a simple safety guideline for mitigating airborne transmission that would impose an upper bound on the product of the number of occupants and their time spent in a room. Our theoretical model quantifies the extent to which transmission risk is reduced in large rooms with high air exchange rates, increased for more vigorous respiratory activities, and dramatically reduced by the use of face masks. Consideration of a number of outbreaks yields self-consistent estimates for the infectiousness of the new coronavirus. The current revival of the American economy is being predicated on social distancing, specifically the Six-Foot Rule, a guideline that offers little protection from pathogen-bearing aerosol droplets sufficiently small to be continuously mixed through an indoor space. The importance of airborne transmission of COVID-19 is now widely recognized. While tools for risk assessment have recently been developed, no safety guideline has been proposed to protect against it. We here build on models of airborne disease transmission in order to derive an indoor safety guideline that would impose an upper bound on the “cumulative exposure time,” the product of the number of occupants and their time in an enclosed space. We demonstrate how this bound depends on the rates of ventilation and air filtration, dimensions of the room, breathing rate, respiratory activity and face mask use of its occupants, and infectiousness of the respiratory aerosols. By synthesizing available data from the best-characterized indoor spreading events with respiratory drop size distributions, we estimate an infectious dose on the order of 10 aerosol-borne virions. The new virus (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 [SARS-CoV-2]) is thus inferred to be an order of magnitude more infectious than its forerunner (SARS-CoV), consistent with the pandemic status achieved by COVID-19. Case studies are presented for classrooms and nursing homes, and a spreadsheet and online app are provided to facilitate use of our guideline. Implications for contact tracing and quarantining are considered, and appropriate caveats enumerated. Particular consideration is given to respiratory jets, which may substantially elevate risk when face masks are not worn.
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DOI:
10.1126/science.abg3055
发表时间:
2021-04-09
期刊:
Science (New York, N.Y.)
影响因子:
--
作者:
Davies NG;Abbott S;Barnard RC;Jarvis CI;Kucharski AJ;Munday JD;Pearson CAB;Russell TW;Tully DC;Washburne AD;Wenseleers T;Gimma A;Waites W;Wong KLM;van Zandvoort K;Silverman JD;CMMID COVID-19 Working Group;COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium;Diaz-Ordaz K;Keogh R;Eggo RM;Funk S;Jit M;Atkins KE;Edmunds WJ
通讯作者:
Edmunds WJ
DOI:
10.1056/nejmra0910061
发表时间:
2010-12-02
期刊:
The New England journal of medicine
影响因子:
--
作者:
Fahy JV;Dickey BF
通讯作者:
Dickey BF
影响因子:
3.7
作者:
Bourouiba, Lydia;Dehandschoewercker, Eline;Bush, John W. M.
通讯作者:
Bush, John W. M.
影响因子:
3.5
作者:
Erdem, Mustafa;Safan, Muntaser;Castillo-Chavez, Carlos
通讯作者:
Castillo-Chavez, Carlos
影响因子:
11.8
作者:
Buonanno, G.;Morawska, L.;Stabile, L.
通讯作者:
Stabile, L.