Economic Loss Assessment due to Railroad and Highway Disruptions

Economic Loss Assessment due to Railroad and Highway Disruptions
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DOI:
10.1080/09535310701328567
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发表时间:
2007-05
影响因子:
2.5
通讯作者:
S. Tsuchiya;H. Tatano;N. Okada
S. Tsuchiya;H. Tatano;N. Okada
中科院分区:
经济学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
S. Tsuchiya;H. Tatano;N. Okada

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摘要 本文旨在对假设的日本东海-东南海地震造成的交通基础设施中断所造成的经济影响进行说明性案例研究。我们制定了一个空间可计算一般均衡(SCGE)模型,该模型集成了一个可以估计货运和旅客出行两种类型的区域间流动的运输模型。该案例研究显示了交通中断的影响以及网络冗余的重要性以及与交通相关的经济损失,对应于灾害和网络发展水平的几种情景。
Abstract This paper aims to present an illustrative case study on the economic impacts of transport infrastructure disruptions caused by the hypothetical Tokai-Tonankai earthquakes in Japan. We formulate a spatial computable general equilibrium (SCGE) model, which integrates a transportation model that can estimate two types of interregional flows of freight movement and passenger trips. The case study shows the impacts of transportation disruptions and the importance of network redundancy with transport-related economic losses corresponding to several scenarios from disasters and network levels of development.