AFTER FERTILITY'S NADIR? ETHNIC DIFFERENTIALS IN PARITY-SPECIFIC BEHAVIOURS IN KYRGYZSTAN
AFTER FERTILITY'S NADIR? ETHNIC DIFFERENTIALS IN PARITY-SPECIFIC BEHAVIOURS IN KYRGYZSTAN
复制标题
生育率跌至最低点之后？
DOI：
10.1017/s0021932017000335
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发表时间：
2017
影响因子：
1.5
通讯作者：
Spoorenberg T
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Spoorenberg T
中亚各国的生育率在1990年代迅速下降后，在过去15年中大幅上升。这些生育率的上升一直没有引起人口学家的注意。本研究考察了吉尔吉斯斯坦最近的生育率增长情况，重点是按均等和主要民族群体的生育率发展情况，以超越传统的生育率指标和全国平均水平。使用2009年人口普查微观数据集的样本，使用15岁以下儿童的关系和出生日期的信息计算兄弟姐妹进展率。这些结果可以通过确定生育率和族裔群体的贡献来分析生育率的增加。结果发现，吉尔吉斯斯坦各主要民族的生育率都有所上升，但各民族在全国人口中所占的比例不同，对生育率的上升有不同的贡献。2001年至2009年期间，82.4%的生育率增长是由于吉尔吉斯斯坦妇女生育率的提高。相比之下，乌兹别克族和俄罗斯族妇女分别占10.2%和7.4%。通过考虑到均等因素和种族因素，这项研究增加了重要的分类信息，不仅涉及家庭建设行为，而且涉及社会层面，这对于更好地了解中亚的人口结构至关重要。该研究突出了关于建立家庭行为的重要信息，这些信息对于制定旨在维持和（或）提高生育率的适当和更有效的社会政策至关重要。
After a swift decline in the 1990s, the countries of Central Asia have experienced significant fertility increases over the last 15 years. These fertility upturns have remained off the radar of demographers. This study examines the recent fertility increase in Kyrgyzstan, focusing on fertility development by parity and among the main ethnic groups, in order to go beyond classic fertility indicators and national averages. Using a sample from the 2009 Census micro-dataset, sibling progression ratios were computed using information on the relationships and dates of birth of children under the age of 15. The results allow an analysis of the fertility increase by identifying the contribution of parity and ethnic group. It was found that the fertility increase in Kyrgyzstan has been experienced across the main ethnic groups, but their respective share in the population of the country has resulted in distinct contributions to the increase. Between 2001 and 2009, 82.4% of the fertility increase was due to an increase in the fertility of Kyrgyz women. In comparison, Uzbek and Russian women contributed 10.2% and 7.4%, respectively. By accounting for the parity component and ethnic factor, this study adds important disaggregated information, not only on family-building behaviours, but also on the social dimension, which is of prime importance for a better understanding of the demography of Central Asia. The study highlights important information on family-building behaviours, which are essential for the formulation of appropriate and more effective social policies aimed at sustaining and/or increasing fertility.