School disengagement as a predictor of dropout, delinquency, and problem substance use during adolescence and early adulthood.
School disengagement as a predictor of dropout, delinquency, and problem substance use during adolescence and early adulthood.
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DOI：
10.1007/s10964-011-9665-3
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发表时间：
2012-02
影响因子：
4.9
通讯作者：
Thornberry TP
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Henry KL;Knight KE;Thornberry TP
在过去五年中，对发展预防辍学的预警系统给予了极大的关注。这些预警系统使用一套基于正式学校记录的指标，以确定有辍学风险的青年，然后采取适当的有针对性的干预措施。目前的研究建立在这项工作的基础上，通过评估学校脱离警告指数在多大程度上不仅预测辍学，而且预测青春期中期，青春期后期和成年早期的其他问题行为。来自罗切斯特青少年发展研究（n=911，73%男性，68%非洲裔美国人，17%拉丁裔）的数据被用来研究学校脱离警告指数的影响，该指数基于官方的8年级和9年级的学校记录，对随后的辍学，以及严重犯罪，官方犯罪，以及在青春期中期，青春期后期和成年早期的问题物质使用。结果表明，学校脱离预警指数是强大的辍学以及严重的问题行为在三个发展阶段，即使控制了重要的潜在混杂因素。高中辍学介导成年早期严重问题行为预警指数的影响。
Over the past five years, a great deal of attention has been paid to the development of early warning systems for dropout prevention. These warning systems use a set of indicators based on official school records to identify youth at risk for dropout and then appropriately target intervention. The current study builds on this work by assessing the extent to which a school disengagement warning index predicts not only dropout but also other problem behaviors during middle adolescence, late adolescence, and early adulthood. Data from the Rochester Youth Development Study (n=911, 73% male, 68% African American, and 17% Latino) were used to examine the effects of a school disengagement warning index based on official 8th and 9th grade school records on subsequent dropout, as well as serious delinquency, official offending, and problem substance use during middle adolescence, late adolescence, and early adulthood. Results indicate that the school disengagement warning index is robustly related to dropout as well as serious problem behaviors across the three developmental stages, even after controlling for important potential confounders. High school dropout mediates the effect of the warning index on serious problem behaviors in early adulthood.