Population growth overshooting and trade in developing countries
Population growth overshooting and trade in developing countries
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DOI：
10.1007/s00148-007-0144-9
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发表时间：
2006
影响因子：
6.1
通讯作者：
Ulla Lehmijoki;T. Palokangas
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ulla Lehmijoki;T. Palokangas
本文研究了一个发展中的经济使用的家庭优化模型，其中的孩子的数量是一个正常的好。贸易自由化产生两种效应：增加人口增长的收入效应和在短期内增加但在长期内减少人口增长的性别工资效应。收入越高，如果资本地位重要，家庭的资本投资就越多。由于女性劳动力是资本的补充，更高的投资增加了女性的相对工资，吸引她们从育儿转向生产。最终，人口增长福尔斯会降到原来的水平以下。
This paper examines a developing economy using a family-optimization model in which the number of children is a normal good. Trade liberalization generates two effects: the income effect that increases population growth and the gender wage effect that, in the short run, increases, but, in the long run, decreases population growth. With higher income, families invest more in capital if the status of the capital is significant. Because female labor is complementary to capital, higher investment increases the relative wages of women and attracts them from child rearing into production. Ultimately, the population growth falls below the original level.