Ensemble prediction: a pedagogical perspective
Ensemble prediction: a pedagogical perspective
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集成预测：教学视角
DOI：
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发表时间：
2008
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Lenny Smith
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Palmer;R. Buizza;R. Hagedorn;A. Lawrence;M. Leutbecher;Lenny Smith
尽管ECMWF EnergyPrediction System（EPS，Molteni et al 1996）通过其评估流量相关天气风险的能力为ECWMF的传播产品带来了额外的价值，但与更传统的确定性预报相比，EPS是一种不那么直接的工具。因此，人们有时会对每股收益提出概念性问题，这并不奇怪。下面是一些例子。
Despite the fact that the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (EPS, Molteni et al 1996) brings additional value to ECWMF’s dissemination products through its ability to assess flow-dependent weather risk, the EPS is a less straightforward tool to use than the more traditional deterministic forecast. Not surprisingly, therefore, conceptual questions are sometimes asked about the EPS. Here are some examples.