The Long term Impacts of a “Graduation” Program: Evidence from West Bengal
The Long term Impacts of a “Graduation” Program: Evidence from West Bengal
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“毕业”计划的长期影响：来自西孟加拉邦的证据
DOI：
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发表时间：
2016
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
J. Shapiro
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Banerjee;Esther Duflo;Raghabendra Chattopadhyay;J. Shapiro
本报告报告了 Bandhan 的“针对核心贫困人口计划”的长期（七年）影响，这是一项多方面的反贫困计划，其中包括印度西孟加拉邦的资产转移和为期 18 个月的支持。对包括西孟加拉邦在内的七个不同地点进行的评估（Banerjee 等人（2015 年）和 Bandiera 等人（2016 年）中的报告）发现，该计划在启动 3 年后（以及服务结束后 18 个月）产生了巨大影响。从长远来看，我们发现巨大的、持久的、而且往往不断增长的影响：资产首次分配七年后，分配到治疗组的每月消费比非分配到控制组的消费高出 16 美元（即 25%）（短期影响为 6.6 美元，即 12%）。所有类别的结果（消费、资产、收入、粮食安全、金融稳定、工作时间以及身心健康）都产生了积极影响，包括一些我们最初在短期或中期没有发现影响的结果。这表明该计划解除“贫困陷阱”的承诺似乎已经实现，至少在这种情况下是这样。
This note reports on the long run (seven-year) impact of Bandhan’s “Targetting the Hard Core Poor program”, a multifaceted anti-poverty program which includes an asset transfer and support for 18 months, in West Bengal, India. Evaluations in seven different sites, including West Bengal (reported in Banerjee et al (2015) and Bandiera et al (2016)) find large effect of the programs, 3 years after it was launched (and 18 months after services ended). In the longer run, we find large, persistent, and often growing impacts: Seven years after the asset were first distributed, the monthly consumption of those assigned to treatment is 16 dollars– or 25%– higher than the consumption of non those assigned to control (the short term effect was 6.6 dollars – or 12%). Positive effects are found across all categories of outcomes (consumption, assets, income, food security, financial stability, time spent working, and physical and mental health), including some outcomes where we did not originally find an effect in the short or medium run. This suggests that the promise of the program to have unlocked a “poverty trap” seem realized, at least in this context.