Effective modeling for Integrated Water Resource Management: A guide to contextual practices by phases and steps and future opportunities
Effective modeling for Integrated Water Resource Management: A guide to contextual practices by phases and steps and future opportunities
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DOI：
10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.02.013
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发表时间：
2019-06-01
影响因子：
4.9
通讯作者：
Bammer, Gabriele
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Badham, Jennifer;Elsawah, Sondoss;Bammer, Gabriele
综合水资源管理 (IWRM) 建模的有效性取决于整个过程中所采用实践的质量，从早期问题定义开始一直到以达到其预期目的的方式使用模型。有效建模实践的采用和实施需要以对建模者做出的各种决策以及做出这些选择时考虑的信息的实际理解为指导。关于建模工作流程、上下文因素在确定此工作流程以及采用哪些实践方面的作用，记录的知识仍然有限。本文试图通过构成建模过程的各个阶段（规划、开发、应用和永久）和步骤提供建模实践的系统指导，并提出应解决的问题，从而弥补这一知识差距。以实践为中心的指导有助于解释进行水资源综合管理建模的详细过程，包括背景因素在塑造实践中的作用。我们利用文献的发现和作者的集体经验来阐明背景因素在采用这些实践时发挥什么作用以及如何发挥作用。为了加快我们对如何改进水资源综合管理建模的了解，本文总结了未来实践相关研究的五个关键领域：知识共享、克服数据限制、利益相关者知情参与、社会公平和不确定性管理。
The effectiveness of Integrated Water Resource Management (IWRM) modeling hinges on the quality of practices employed through the process, starting from early problem definition all the way through to using the model in a way that serves its intended purpose. The adoption and implementation of effective modeling practices need to be guided by a practical understanding of the variety of decisions that modelers make, and the information considered in making these choices. There is still limited documented knowledge on the modeling workflow, and the role of contextual factors in determining this workflow and which practices to employ. This paper attempts to contribute to this knowledge gap by providing systematic guidance of the modeling practices through the phases (Planning, Development, Application, and Perpetuation) and steps that comprise the modeling process, positing questions that should be addressed. Practice-focused guidance helps explain the detailed process of conducting IWRM modeling, including the role of contextual factors in shaping practices. We draw on findings from literature and the authors' collective experience to articulate what and how contextual factors play out in employing those practices. In order to accelerate our learning about how to improve IWRM modeling, the paper concludes with five key areas for future practice-related research: knowledge sharing, overcoming data limitations, informed stakeholder involvement, social equity and uncertainty management.