Exiting from quantitative easing

Exiting from quantitative easing
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退出量化宽松

DOI:
10.3982/qe1058
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发表时间:
2019
影响因子:
1.8
通讯作者:
Junko Koeda
Junko Koeda
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
F. Hayashi;Junko Koeda

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我们提出了一个分析量化宽松(QE)宏观经济效果的实证框架,并将其应用于日本。该框架是一个机制转换结构向量自回归模型,其中中央银行根据经济状况选择的货币政策机制是内生的和可观察的。量化宽松被模拟为一种制度。该模型包含了终止量化宽松的退出条件。我们发现,处于有效下限的更高准备金会提高通胀和产出,终止量化宽松可能是收缩性的,也可能是扩张性的,这取决于退出时的经济状况。
We propose an empirical framework for analyzing the macroeconomic effects of quantitative easing (QE) and apply it to Japan. The framework is a regime‐switching structural vector autoregression in which the monetary policy regime, chosen by the central bank responding to economic conditions, is endogenous and observable. QE is modeled as one of the regimes. The model incorporates an exit condition for terminating QE. We find that higher reserves at the effective lower bound raise inflation and output, and that terminating QE may be contractionary or expansionary, depending on the state of the economy at the point of exit.
DOI: --
发表时间: 2008
期刊: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 22(3)
影响因子: --
作者:
INOUE;Tomoo and OKIMOTO;Tatsuyoshi
通讯作者: Tatsuyoshi