Perceived attributes of hurricane-related retrofits and their effect on household adoption
Perceived attributes of hurricane-related retrofits and their effect on household adoption
复制标题
DOI：
10.1007/s11069-020-04165-8
复制
发表时间：
2020-07
期刊：
影响因子：
3.7
通讯作者：
Yilin Zou;Alexia Stock;R. Davidson;L. Nozick;J. Trainor;Jamie L. Kruse
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yilin Zou;Alexia Stock;R. Davidson;L. Nozick;J. Trainor;Jamie L. Kruse
了解房主如何做出保护性行动决策，对于设计政策和计划以鼓励这些行动和整个社区的复原力非常重要。本文重点研究了房主对保护行动本身属性的看法在影响家庭保护行动决策中的作用。具体来说，使用的组合显示和声明的偏好数据从一个邮寄的调查房主在北卡罗来纳州（n= 234），我们拟合混合logit模型来预测的概率房主有或打算在结构上改造（加强）她的家，以减轻飓风和洪水的破坏。我们发现有证据支持这样的假设，即进行改造的可能性更高与房主的以下信念有关：（1）改造成本不太高，（2）安装不需要太多的努力，（3）他们了解它是如何工作的，（4）它会增加房屋价值，（5）它会保护生命，（6）它会保护财产，（7）它不会使家庭的吸引力降低。这项工作表明，业主作出改造决策的基础上的投资组合的感知属性，这取决于正在考虑的改造类型。虽然成本很重要，但其他因素在决策中也有相当大的分量。此外，研究结果表明，研究一种类型的保护作用（例如，具有应急包）可能无法推广到其他行动（添加防飓风百叶窗）而不考虑这些属性。
Understanding how homeowners make protective action decisions is important for designing policies and programs to encourage those actions and community resilience as a whole. This paper focuses on the role of homeowner perceptions of attributes of the protective actions themselves in influencing household protective action decisions. Specifically, using a combination of revealed and stated preference data from a mailed survey of homeowners in North Carolina (n= 234), we fitted mixed logit models to predict the probability a homeowner has or intends to structurally retrofit (strengthen) her home to mitigate hurricane wind and flood damage. We found evidence supporting the hypotheses that a higher probability of undertaking a retrofit is associated with homeowner beliefs that: (1) The retrofit cost is not too high, (2) the installation does not require too much effort, (3) they understand how it works, (4) it would add to home value, (5) it would protect lives, (6) it would protect property, and (7) it would not make the home less attractive. This work shows that homeowners make retrofit decisions based on a portfolio of perceived attributes that depend on the type of retrofit under consideration. Although cost is important, other factors carry considerable weight in the decision as well. Further, findings suggest that study of one type of protective action (e.g., having an emergency kit) may not be generalizable to other actions (adding hurricane shutters) without considering these attributes.