Who benefits most from college? Evidence for negative selection in heterogeneous economic returns to higher education.

Who benefits most from college? Evidence for negative selection in heterogeneous economic returns to higher education.
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DOI:
10.1177/0003122410363567
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发表时间:
2010-04-01
影响因子:
9.1
通讯作者:
Xie Y
Xie Y
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Brand JE;Xie Y

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我们考虑了大学教育的经济回报在美国人口中的不同。根据比较优势原则,通常假定积极选择,即,那些最有可能选择进入大学的人从大学中受益最多。净观察到的经济和非经济因素影响大学入学率,我们推测,个人谁是最不可能获得大学教育受益最多的大学。我们把这个理论称为消极选择假说。为了判断这两个假设之间,我们研究了完成大学对收入的影响,倾向分数层使用创新的分层线性模型,数据来自全国青年纵向调查1979年和威斯康星州纵向研究。对于这两种数据来源,对于男性和女性,以及对于生命历程的每个观察阶段,我们都发现了表明负选择的证据。辅助分析的结果进一步支持结果的负选择解释。
We consider how the economic return to a college education varies across members of the U.S. population. Based on principles of comparative advantage, positive selection is commonly presumed, i.e., individuals who are most likely to select into college benefit most from college. Net of observed economic and non-economic factors influencing college attendance, we conjecture that individuals who are least likely to obtain a college education benefit most from college. We call this theory the negative selection hypothesis. To adjudicate between the two hypotheses, we study the effects of completing college on earnings by propensity score strata using an innovative hierarchical linear model with data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 and the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study. For both data sources, for men and for women, and for every observed stage of the life course, we find evidence suggesting negative selection. Results from auxiliary analyses lend further support to the negative selection interpretation of the results.
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