Numeracy and decision making
Numeracy and decision making
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1467-9280.2006.01720.x
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发表时间：
2006-05-01
影响因子：
8.2
通讯作者：
Dickert, S
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Peters, E;Västfjäll, D;Dickert, S
一系列四项研究探讨了理解和转换概率数的能力与判断和决策任务的表现之间的关系。从表面上看，这四项研究的任务似乎有很大不同。然而，在概念层面上，它们都涉及处理数字和表现出情感影响的潜力。研究结果表明，与计算能力较低的人相比，计算能力较高的人更有可能检索和使用适当的数字原理，从而使自己不易受到框架效应的影响。此外，计算能力强的人倾向于从数字和数字比较中得出不同的（通常更强或更精确）情感意义，并且他们的情感反应更精确。虽然这种倾向通常很有帮助，但有时可能会导致更糟糕的决定。计算能力较差的人更多地受到竞争性的、不相关的情感因素的影响。分析表明，计算能力的影响并不是由一般智力造成的。数字能力似乎对判断和决策有重要影响。
A series of four studies explored how the ability to comprehend and transform probability numbers relates to performance on judgment and decision tasks. On the surface, the tasks in the four studies appear to be widely different; at a conceptual level, however, they all involve processing numbers and the potential to show an influence of affect. Findings were consistent with highly numerate individuals being more likely to retrieve and use appropriate numerical principles, thus making themselves less susceptible to framing effects, compared with less numerate individuals. In addition, the highly numerate tended to draw different (generally stronger or more precise) affective meaning from numbers and numerical comparisons, and their affective responses were more precise. Although generally helpful, this tendency may sometimes lead to worse decisions. The less numerate were influenced more by competing, irrelevant affective considerations. Analyses showed that the effect of numeracy was not due to general intelligence. Numerical ability appears to matter to judgments and decisions in important ways.