The Spatial Relationship between Regional Development Potential and Resource & Environment Carrying Capacity
The Spatial Relationship between Regional Development Potential and Resource & Environment Carrying Capacity
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发表时间：
2009
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通讯作者：
Hu Qing
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作者：
Hu Qing
什么是与某一地区有关的整体发展。了解一个国家不同地区的发展潜力和资源环境承载力的空间分布特征是十分必要的。要实现可持续发展，必须保持资源在时间和空间尺度上的合理分布，既满足当代人的需求，又不损害子孙后代的需求。这是落实科学发展观的重要举措，也是构建和谐社会的重要基础。本研究旨在探讨区域发展潜力与资源环境承载力之间的空间关系。将2000年和2006年的数据应用于空间统计分析和地理信息系统（GIS）的元综合。根据比例性、完备性和一致性原则，构建了DP和REC两个区域复合系统，并利用熵值法计算了其权重。结果表明：①中国西部地区DP和REC的总体空间分布格局呈现由沿海向内陆向省区递减的趋势；显然，区域经济发展水平是影响发展潜力的首要因素。2)计算了资源环境发展潜力和承载能力的Moran I和G统计量。可以看出，这两方面的空间分布差异在不同省份之间是相似的。具体来说，发展潜力高的省份或地区主要集中在东部，发展潜力低的省份或地区主要在西部。中国中部、东部和南部地区的承载力有所提高并趋于集中，而承载力水平较低的地区主要集中在西北地区。3)根据k均值聚类分析和空间聚类结果，将区域发展潜力和承载力划分为5类。划分结果表明：各区域发展潜力与承载力空间关联测度呈正相关（R=0.393）；换句话说，它不是很显著。除了承载能力，国际经济和信息、科技发展、创新和制度也是区域发展潜力的重要因素。与发展潜力较高的地区相比，发展潜力较低的地区受资源环境承载力的制约要大得多。
The overall development of what is related to a certain region. It’s very essential to know the spatial distribution features of development potential (DP) and resource environment carrying capacity (REC) in various areas of a nation. To achieve sustainable development, it is essential to maintain the rational distribution of resources on the temporal and spatial scale, and to satisfy the needs of people nowadays without undermining those of the next generations. This is an important measure of putting the scientific development concept into practice, and it is also an important base for constructing a harmonious society. The goal of this study is to explore the spatial relationship between regional development potential and the carrying capacity of resource and environment. Data from 2000 and 2006 are applied to the meta-synthesis of spatial statistical analysis and geography information system (GIS). According to the principles of proportionality, completeness and consistency, two regional complex systems of DP and REC are constructed, and the weight of what is calculated by using entropy method. The results show that: 1) the overall spatial distribution patterns of DP and REC present a declining trend from coastal through inland area towards the provinces in west China. Obviously, the regional economic development level is the primary factor of development potential. 2)Moran's I and G statistics of development potential and carrying capacity of resource and environment are calculated. It can be seen that the differences in spatial distribution of both aspects are similar among different provinces. To specify, provinces or regions with high level of development potential are mainly located in east China, while places with low level of development potential are mainly in the western part China. The carrying capacity in central, eastern and southern parts of China has been improved and tends to centralize, while places with low level of carrying capacity are mainly in northwest China. 3) The regional development potential and carrying capacity are divided into five categories according to the results of k-means clustering analysis and spatial clustering. The dividing results demonstrate that spatial association measure of development potential and carrying capacity of various regions is positive correlation (R=0.393); in other words, it is not very significantly. Besides carrying capacity, the international economic and information, scientific and technological development, innovation and institutions are also important factors of regional development potential. Compared with the regions with higher level of development potential, the regions with lower level are much more restricted by the carrying capacity of resource and environment.