Future impacts of climate-induced compound disasters on volcano hazard assessment
Future impacts of climate-induced compound disasters on volcano hazard assessment
复制标题
气候引起的复合灾害对火山危险性评估的未来影响
DOI：
10.1007/s00445-022-01542-y
复制
发表时间：
2022-04-05
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Ajibade, Idowu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fink, Jonathan;Ajibade, Idowu
野火、洪水、山体滑坡和干旱等与气候变化有关的灾害日益频繁，增加了它们在空间和时间上与火山爆发同时发生的可能性。由此产生的复合灾害的级联效应比单独的火山爆发更难预测。对当前火山事件的成功应对利用了火山学家和其他灾害管理专业人员对过去模式的集体知识，使他们能够制定准备，监测，疏散和恢复的战略。在未来几十年中，对这些熟悉的事件模式的解释将因复合灾害而变得复杂。为了有效地应对未来的事件，火山学家需要扩大他们对非火山灾害的知识，并更有意识地将社会科学的观点纳入灾害规划和管理。
The growing frequency of climate change-related hazards such as wildfires, floods, landslides, and drought increases the chances that they will coincide in space and time with volcanic eruptions. The cascading effects of the resulting compound disasters are much harder to predict than eruptions alone. Successful response to current volcanic events draws on the collective knowledge of past patterns gained by volcanologists and other disaster management professionals, allowing them to map out strategies for preparation, monitoring, evacuation, and recovery. In the coming decades, interpretations of such familiar patterns of events will be complicated by compound hazards. To respond effectively to future events, volcanologists will need to expand their knowledge of non-volcanic hazards and more intentionally incorporate social science perspectives into disaster planning and management.