Decision Making for Disaster Risk Management in a Changing Climate
Decision Making for Disaster Risk Management in a Changing Climate
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气候变化下的灾害风险管理决策
DOI：
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发表时间：
2014
期刊：
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通讯作者：
S. Hallegatte
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Hallegatte
未来气候条件的不确定性意味着需要调动新的决策方法。本章重点介绍了应对气候变化对自然灾害和灾害影响的巨大不确定性（和分歧）的最佳策略。它介绍了稳健的决策方法，并提出了最适合未来气候高度不确定性的当前形势的灵活和可逆的战略。这些方法可用于改进风险管理，并捕捉风险管理与气候变化适应之间的潜在协同作用。
The uncertainty in future climate conditions means that new decision-making approaches need to be mobilized. This chapter highlights strategies that are best able to cope with the large uncertainty (and disagreement) that surround the climate change impacts on natural hazards and disasters. It introduces the robust decision-making approach and suggests flexible and reversible strategies that are best suited to the current situation of high uncertainty on future climates. These approaches can be used to improve risk management, and capture the potential synergies between risk management and climate change adaptation.