Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
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DOI:
10.1007/978-3-642-04898-2_411
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发表时间:
2005-07
期刊:
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
H. Tong
H. Tong
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
H. Tong

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在平稳时间序列分析中,谱密度函数即使存在,在上述定义下也是非线性的。然而,由于稍后将说明的原因,基于它或其等效的统计分析通常被认为是线性分析。通常,以离散的时间间隔观察时间序列。对于离散平稳时间序列1Xt: t=…,- 1,0,1,…l具有有限方差,corr (Xt, Xt+ s)是一个仅关于s的函数,比如ρ (s),它被称为自相关函数。如果∑∞s=−∞| ρ (s)|< r,则谱密度函数是ρ (s)的傅里叶变换。现在,Yule(1927)引入了著名的时间序列自回归模型。该模型通常采用以下形式
In the analysis of stationary time series, the spectral density function, if it exists, is nonlinear under the above definition. However, for reasons to be made clear later, a statistical analysis that is based on it or its equivalents is ordinarily considered a linear analysis. Often, a time series is observed at discrete time intervals. For a discrete-time stationary time series 1Xt: t=...,-1, 0, 1,... l with finite variance, corr (Xt, Xt+ s) is a function of s only, say ρ (s), and is called the auto-correlation function. The spectral density function is the Fourier transform of ρ (s) if∑∞ s=−∞| ρ (s)|< с. Now, Yule (1927) introduced the celebrated autoregressive model in time series. Typically the model takes the form