A carbon tax on agriculture? A CGE analysis for Chile

A carbon tax on agriculture? A CGE analysis for Chile
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DOI:
10.1080/09535314.2019.1676701
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发表时间:
2020-04
影响因子:
2.5
通讯作者:
C. Mardones;M. Lipski
C. Mardones;M. Lipski
中科院分区:
经济学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
C. Mardones;M. Lipski

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本文评估了对农业部门产生的CO2当量排放征税的实施情况。可计算一般均衡(CGE)模拟考虑税率范围为5美元至131美元/吨二氧化碳当量,并进行敏感性分析。我们发现,只对农业排放征税会降低农业的竞争力,从而减少农业的产量。结果,真实的国内生产总值福尔斯从0.00-0.01%下降到0.12-0.40%,总排放量从0.07-0.10%下降到1.79- 2.25%。这种税有轻微的累退性。我们的结论是,仅仅对农业征税并不能实质性地减少排放。事实上,我们发现在补贴林业的同时全面征税会更有效。
This paper evaluates the implementation of a tax on CO2 equivalent (CO2eq) emissions produced by the agricultural sector. Computable general equilibrium (CGE) simulations consider tax rates ranging from $5 to $131 USD/ton CO2eq with sensitivity analyses. We find that a tax applied only to agricultural emissions makes agriculture less competitive and, thus, reduces its production. Real GDP falls from 0.00–0.01% to 0.12–0.40% as a result, and total emissions decline from 0.07–0.10% to 1.79–2.25%. The tax is slightly regressive. We conclude that the tax on just agriculture does not substantially reduce emissions. Indeed, we find it is more efficient to apply the tax across the board, while subsidizing the forestry.