An exploration of Donald Trump's allegations of massive voter fraud in the 2016 General Election
An exploration of Donald Trump's allegations of massive voter fraud in the 2016 General Election
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DOI：
10.1016/j.electstud.2017.09.002
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发表时间：
2018-02-01
影响因子：
2.3
通讯作者：
Westwood, Sean J.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cottrell, David;Herron, Michael C.;Westwood, Sean J.
作为共和党总统候选人和后来的美国第45任总统，唐纳德·特朗普一再大声声称，2016年大选受到大规模选民欺诈的污染。在这里，我们使用总体选举统计数据来研究特朗普的主张，并将重点放在全国各地的非公民人口、针对加州、新罕布什尔州和弗吉尼亚州的具体州的指控以及选举结果的时间上。与现有文献一致，我们没有发现任何证据支持特朗普关于2016年系统性选民欺诈的说法。我们的结果既不意味着2016年大选中根本没有欺诈，也不意味着这次选举的管理没有错误。然而，它们确实强烈表明，唐纳德·特朗普及其盟友所支持的广泛的选民欺诈担忧，并没有基于2016年大选的任何可观察到的特征。(C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd.版权所有。
As Republican candidate for president and later 45th President of the United States, Donald Trump has claimed repeatedly and vociferously that the 2016 General Election was tainted by massive voter fraud. Here we use aggregate election statistics to study Trump's claims and focus on non-citizen populations across the country, state-specific allegations directed at California, New Hampshire, and Virginia, and the timing of election results. Consistent with existing literature, we do not uncover any evidence supportive of Trump's assertions about systematic voter fraud in 2016. Our results imply neither that there was no fraud at all in the 2016 General Election nor that this election's administration was error-free. They do strongly suggest, however, that the expansive voter fraud concerns espoused by Donald Trump and those allied with him are not grounded in any observable features of the 2016 election. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.