A model for predicting the temporal distribution of one-day recreational travel
A model for predicting the temporal distribution of one-day recreational travel
复制标题
一日休闲旅游时间分布预测模型
DOI：
10.1080/03081069408717544
复制
发表时间：
1994
影响因子：
1.6
通讯作者：
Mikado Motoyama
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
T. Sumi;Kazuto Imaizumi;Osamu Ichinose;Mikado Motoyama
本文提出了一种不受任何时间约束的单日出行时间分布预测模型。该模型假设了与离家早、回家晚有关的效用，以及与在目的地停留或旅行有关的效用。将所提出的模型应用于日本一日休闲旅游。该模型对轨道交通系统的时间分布进行了合理的预测。然后对该模型进行修正，以预测私家车出行。
This paper proposes a model for predicting the temporal distribution of one‐day travel which is not under any explicit temporal constraints. The model assumes utilities related to the earliness of home departure, the lateness of home arrival, along with the utilities related to staying at a destination or travelling. The proposed model is applied to one‐day recreational travel in Japan. The model provides a reasonable prediction of temporal distribution on mass transit systems. The model is then revised for predicting travel by private cars.