Corruption and Electoral Support for New Political Parties in Central and Eastern Europe
Corruption and Electoral Support for New Political Parties in Central and Eastern Europe
复制标题
中欧和东欧新政党的腐败与选举支持
DOI：
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发表时间：
2016
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Sarah Engler
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Sarah Engler
在苏联解体20多年后，中东欧(CEE)的选举波动性仍然非常高。很大一部分波动来自新政党的选票，因为他们往往在选举中站在获胜的一方。这篇文章考察了腐败作为他们选举支持的一个潜在决定因素。它认为，腐败的影响是双重的：一方面，由于强大的裙带主义结构将选民与老牌政党捆绑在一起，历史上衍生的腐败水平减少了对新政党的选举支持。另一方面，被认为腐败程度高于传统腐败水平的增加，会导致人们对政治精英失去信任，从而增加对新竞争者的选举支持。对1996年至2013年期间中东欧所有民主选举的统计分析证实了这两个抵消效应。
More than 20 years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the electoral volatility in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) is still remarkably high. A considerable part of the volatility derives from the votes for new political parties, since they are very often on the winning side of elections. This article examines corruption as a potential determinant of their electoral support. It argues that the effect of corruption is twofold: on the one hand, the historically derived corruption level reduces the electoral support for new political parties due to strong clientelist structures that bind the electorate to the established parties. On the other hand, an increase in perceived corruption above the traditional corruption level leads to a loss of trust in the political elite and therefore boosts the electoral support for new competitors. A statistical analysis of all democratic elections in CEE between 1996 and 2013 confirms these two counteracting effects.