Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion
Can stratospheric temperature trends be attributed to ozone depletion
复制标题
平流层温度趋势可以归因于臭氧消耗吗
DOI：
10.1029/2003jd003897
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发表时间：
2004
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
L. Steenman
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Sylvia H. E. Hare;L. Gray;W. Lahoz;A. O'Neill;L. Steenman
[1]臭氧变化对平流层温度的影响进行了研究，通过比较20年统一模式瞬变运行的两个5成员集合，一个有臭氧的线性趋势，另一个没有。平流层平均温度的显著趋势为-0.17 K/十年，这归因于臭氧消耗。据发现，虽然增加合奏大小到20名成员将有相当大的好处，增加合奏大小进一步不会显着提高结果的信心。气候变化建模的时间片方法被发现产生类似的温度趋势，本实验的瞬态方法。
[1] The effect on stratospheric temperature of changing ozone is investigated by comparing two 5-member ensembles of 20-year Unified Model transient runs, one with a linear trend in ozone and one without. A significant stratospheric mean temperature trend of −0.17 K/decade is attributed to ozone depletion. It is found that, although increasing the ensemble size to 20 members would have considerable benefits, increasing the ensemble size further would not dramatically improve confidence in the results. The timeslice approach to climate change modeling is found to produce similar temperature trends to the transient approach for this experiment.