Influences on coastal tourism demand and substitution behaviors from climate change impacts and hazard recovery responses
Influences on coastal tourism demand and substitution behaviors from climate change impacts and hazard recovery responses
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DOI：
10.1080/09669582.2019.1599005
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发表时间：
2019-04
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
E. Seekamp;Matthew Jurjonas;Karly Bitsura-Meszaros
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
E. Seekamp;Matthew Jurjonas;Karly Bitsura-Meszaros
摘要气候变化的影响可能会对旅游需求产生负面影响，随后，通过破坏访问和改变物理条件，包括适应和恢复努力，对当地经济产生负面影响。需要进行研究，帮助目的地更好地适应气候变化，包括研究影响旅行行为的决策因素。本文介绍了一个离散选择实验的结果，以确定如何物理和经济变化可能会影响访问行为的一个脆弱的沿海目的地，外银行地区的北卡罗来纳州，美国。我们将我们的实验嵌入到现场游客调查中，以揭示游客愿意容忍的沿海属性的负面变化阈值，并研究游客是否愿意替代他们未来的旅行。在四个选定的属性中，与运输有关的变化的相对重要性最高。三种类型的空间替代的可能性，刺激了无法访问的目的地，始终与居住地，但不太一致的地方意义，访问历史，和其他人口变量。研究结果可以为沿海地区的气候变化规划提供信息，以尽量减少对旅游需求的负面影响，例如需要开发创造性的收入来源，以保持依赖占用税的社区的复原力。
Abstract Climate change impacts can negatively affect tourism demand and, subsequently, local economies by disrupting access and altering physical conditions, including those from adaptation and recovery efforts. Research is needed that helps destinations become more climate ready, including studies of decision factors that influence trip-taking behaviors. This paper presents findings from a discrete choice experiment to determine how physical and economic changes could affect visitation behaviors to a vulnerable coastal destination, the Outer Banks region of North Carolina, USA. We embedded our experiment within an on-site visitor survey to reveal thresholds of negative changes to coastal attributes that tourists are willing to tolerate, and also examined tourists’ willingness to substitute their future trips to the region. Transportation-related changes had the highest relative importance among the four selected attributes. The likelihood of three types of spatial substitution, spurred by not being able to access the destination, were consistently related to residency but less consistently related to place meanings, visitation history, and other demographic variables. Study results can inform climate change planning within coastal zones to minimize negative impacts to tourism demand, such as the need to develop creative revenue streams to maintain resilience in communities that rely on occupancy taxes.