The relationship between osteoporotic fracture risk and a surrogate: apparent discrepancies between analyses based on individual patient data and summary statistics
The relationship between osteoporotic fracture risk and a surrogate: apparent discrepancies between analyses based on individual patient data and summary statistics
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DOI:
10.1002/pst.123
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发表时间:
2004-07-01
影响因子:
1.5
通讯作者:
Barton, I
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Barton, I
There is debate within the osteoporosis research community about the relationship between the risk of osteoporotic fracture and the surrogate measures of fracture risk. Meta-regression analyses based on summary data have shown a linear relationship between fracture risk and surrogate measures, whereas analyses based oil individual patient data (IPD) have shown a nonlinear relationship. We investigated the association between changes in a surrogate measure of fracture incidence, in this case a bone turnover marker for resorption assessed in the three risedronate phase III clinical programmes, and incident osteoporosis-related fracture risk using regression models based on patient-level and trial-level information. The relationship between osteoporosis-related fracture risk and changes in bone resorption was different when analysed on the basis of IPD than when analysed on the basis of a meta-analytic approach (i.e., meta-regression) using summary data (e.g., treatment effect based oil treatment group estimates). This inconsistency in our findings was consistent with those in the published literature. Meta-regression based on summary statistics at the trial level is not expected to reflect causal relationships between a clinical outcome and surrogate measures. Analyses based oil IPD make possible a more comprehensive analysis since all relevant data on a patient level are available. Copyright (C) 2004 John Wiley Sons Ltd.