Communication and mental processes: Experiential and analytic processing of uncertain climate information
Communication and mental processes: Experiential and analytic processing of uncertain climate information
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DOI：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.10.004
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发表时间：
2007-02-01
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
Phillips, Jennifer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Marx, Sabine M.;Weber, Elke U.;Phillips, Jennifer
人们在两个性质不同的系统中处理不确定性信息。大多数气候预测通信假设人们分析处理信息。然而，人们也严重依赖经验处理系统。更好地理解经验处理可能会导致更容易理解的风险沟通产品。将统计信息重新转换为具体的（替代的）经验有助于直观地理解概率信息，并激发应急计划。在小组讨论或预测、决策和结果的模拟中分享替代经验，可以提供更丰富、更有代表性的相关经验样本。抽象风险的具体化所带来的情感冲击，会以分析性理解所无法提供的方式激发行动。(c)2006爱思唯尔有限公司保留所有权利。
People process uncertainty information in two qualitatively different systems. Most climate forecast communications assume people process information analytically. Yet people also rely heavily on an experiential processing system. Better understanding of experiential processing may lead to more comprehensible risk communication products. Retranslation of statistical information into concrete (vicarious) experience facilitates intuitive understanding of probabilistic information and motivates contingency planning. Sharing vicarious experience in group discussions or simulations of forecasts, decisions, and outcomes provides a richer and more representative sample of relevant experience. The emotional impact of the concretization of abstract risks motivates action in ways not provided by an analytic understanding. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.