Progression to type 2 diabetes mellitus and associated risk factors after hyperglycemia first detected in pregnancy: A cross-sectional study in Cape Town, South Africa
Progression to type 2 diabetes mellitus and associated risk factors after hyperglycemia first detected in pregnancy: A cross-sectional study in Cape Town, South Africa
复制标题
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pmed.1002865
复制
发表时间:
2019-09-01
期刊:
影响因子:
15.8
通讯作者:
Levitt, Naomi S.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Chivese, Tawanda;Norris, Shane A.;Levitt, Naomi S.
Background Global data indicate that women with a history of hyperglycemia first detected in pregnancy (HFDP) are at up to 7 times risk of progressing to type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) compared with their counterparts who have pregnancies that are not complicated by hyperglycemia. However, there are no data from the sub-Saharan African region, which has the highest projected rise in diabetes prevalence globally. The aim of this study was to determine the proportion of women who progress to T2DM and associated risk factors 5 to 6 years after HFDP in Cape Town, South Africa. Methods and findings All women with HFDP, at a major referral hospital in Cape Town, were followed up 5 to 6 years later using a cross-sectional study. Each participant had a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test; anthropometric measurements and a survey were administered. A total of 220 participants were followed up. At this time, their mean age was 37.2 years (SD 6.0). Forty-eight percent (95% CI 41.2-54.4) progressed to T2DM, 5.5% (95% CI 3.1-9.4) had impaired fasting glucose, and 10.5% (95% CI 7.0-15.3) had impaired glucose tolerance. Of the participants who progressed to T2DM, 47% were unaware of their diabetes status. When HFDP was categorized post hoc according to WHO 2013 guidelines, progression in the diabetes in pregnancy (DIP) group was 81% (95% CI 70.2-89.0) and 31.3% (95% CI 24.4-39.3) in the gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) category. Factors associated with risk of progression to T2DM were; at follow-up: waist circumference (odds ratios [OR] 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.1, p = 0.007), hip circumference (OR 0.9, 95% CI 0.8-1.0, p = 0.001), and BMI (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.3, p = 0.001), and at baseline: insulin (OR 25.8, 95% CI 3.9-171.4, p = 0.001) and oral hypoglycaemic treatment during HFDP (OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.3-12.9, p = 0.018), fasting (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.5-4.8, p = 0.001), and oral glucose tolerance test 2-hour glucose concentration at HFDP diagnosis (OR 4.3, 95% CI 2.4-7.7, p < 0.001). Our findings have limitations in that we did not include a control group of women without a history of HFDP. Conclusions The progression to T2DM in women with previous HFDP found in this study highlights the need for interventions to delay or prevent progression to T2DM after HFDP. In addition, interventions to prevent HFDP may also contribute to reducing the risk of T2DM.Author summaryWhy was this study done? International research shows that when a woman has diabetes detected in pregnancy, which may resolve after the pregnancy, she remains at high risk of future diabetes. However, we do not know what proportion of women progress to type 2 diabetes in Africa, because there is no research that has been done before, despite the rapid increase in the number of people with diabetes. What did the researchers do and find? We recalled 220 women 5 to 6 years after they had diabetes first detected in pregnancy and tested them for type 2 diabetes in Cape Town, South Africa. We found that almost half of the women (48%) at follow up had type 2 diabetes. Of the women with type 2 diabetes, 47% did not know that they had type 2 diabetes. We also found that being obese at follow-up and having higher blood glucose concentrations at the time the women were tested for diabetes in pregnancy (DIP) increased the chances of progressing to type 2 diabetes 5 to 6 years after the pregnancy. What do these findings mean? A large proportion of South African women who have diabetes first detected in pregnancy may develop type 2 diabetes at an early age and within 6 years after the pregnancy. It may be necessary to change their lifestyle after the pregnancy so they can reduce the chance of progressing to type 2 diabetes. Screening for type 2 diabetes after the pregnancy needs to be more often so women who develop diabetes are diagnosed and receive treatment earlier. Further research is needed, because we did not include women with normal blood glucose during pregnancy in this study.