Factors underlying inflation in Russia 2000-2015
Factors underlying inflation in Russia 2000-2015
复制标题
2000-2015年俄罗斯通货膨胀的因素
DOI：
10.1080/15387216.2016.1228076
复制
发表时间：
2016
影响因子：
3.8
通讯作者：
Shinichiro Tabata
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hasegawa T;Katsuhira J;Oka H;Fujii T;Matsudaira K;Shinichiro Tabata
本文研究了2000年至2015年期间俄罗斯持续通货膨胀的问题。虽然导致高通胀的因素在此期间发生了变化，但货币供应量、工资、天然气和电力价格、卢布汇率等因素在分析俄罗斯通胀时一直是必不可少的因素。本文关注的是天然气和电力价格，这些价格代表了自然垄断部门的国家管制价格，也是俄罗斯特定价格上涨的因素。它们是由国家提高的，目的是缩小国内和国际价格之间的差距。有人认为，2008年出现了转机，各通胀因素的作用发生了显著变化。关于2014年以来通货膨胀率的反弹，指出了卢布贬值的压倒性影响。报告还指出，俄罗斯经济的垄断结构等制度因素导致通货膨胀率居高不下。
This paper examines the problem of continuing inflation in Russia in the period from 2000 to 2015. Although factors causing high inflation changed during this period, such factors as money supply, wages, gas and electricity prices, and ruble exchange rate have been essential factors when analyzing inflation in Russia. This paper focuses on gas and electricity prices that represent state-regulated prices in natural monopoly sectors and that have been factors of price increases specific to Russia. They have been raised by the state in order to narrow the gap between their domestic and international prices. It is suggested that there was a turnaround in 2008 when the role of each inflation factor changed significantly. Concerning the rebound of inflation rate since 2014, the overwhelming influence of depreciation of the ruble is indicated. Institutional factors such as the monopolistic structure of the economy that have kept the inflation rate high in Russia are also suggested.