Probability of extreme hydrometeorological events - a different approach
Probability of extreme hydrometeorological events - a different approach
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极端水文气象事件的概率 - 不同的方法
DOI：
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发表时间：
1993
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
V. Klemes
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
V. Klemes
对频率分析的标准方法提出了批评，并提出了一个不同的理由，根据治疗的利益作为一个复合事件的变量，并通过列举所有物理上合理的组合，其主要组成部分的数据是可用的，合成其分布函数。由于只针对极端事件概率的数量级，小样本理论的精细点，其中标准方法纠缠在一起，变得虚假，而更多的空间可用于明确考虑所涉及的物理过程。该方法说明了一个例子，使用数据的年度最大日降水量从沿海地区的不列颠哥伦比亚省。
A criticism of the standard approach to frequency analysis is presented and a different rationale is proposed based on treating the variable of interest as a compound event and synthesizing its distribution function by enumerating all physically plausible combinations of its major components for which data are available. Since only the order of magnitude of the probabilities of the extreme events is aimed for, the fine points of small sample theory, in which the standard approach is entangled, become spurious while more room is made available for explicit consideration of the physical processes involved. The approach is illustrated by an example using data on annual maxima of daily precipitation from the coastal region of British Columbia.