Evaluating Primary Endpoints for COVID-19 Therapeutic Trials to Assess Recovery.
Evaluating Primary Endpoints for COVID-19 Therapeutic Trials to Assess Recovery.
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DOI:
10.1164/rccm.202112-2836oc
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发表时间:
2022-09-15
影响因子:
24.7
通讯作者:
Ginde, Adit A.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Douin, David J.;Siegel, Lianne;Grandits, Greg;Phillips, Andrew;Aggarwal, Neil R.;Baker, Jason;Brown, Samuel M.;Chang, Christina C.;Goodman, Anna L.;Grund, Birgit;Higgs, Elizabeth S.;Hough, Catherine L.;Murray, Daniel D.;Paredes, Roger;Parmar, Mahesh;Pett, Sarah;Polizzotto, Mark N.;Sandkovsky, Uriel;Self, Wesley H.;Young, Barnaby E.;Babiker, Abdel G.;Davey, Victoria J.;Kan, Virginia;Gelijns, Annetine C.;Matthews, Gail;Thompson, B. Taylor;Lane, H. Clifford;Neaton, James D.;Lundgren, Jens D.;Ginde, Adit A.
Uncertainty regarding the natural history of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) led to difficulty in efficacy endpoint selection for therapeutic trials. Capturing outcomes that occur after hospital discharge may improve assessment of clinical recovery among hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Evaluate 90-day clinical course of patients hospitalized with COVID-19, comparing three distinct definitions of recovery. We used pooled data from three clinical trials of neutralizing monoclonal antibodies to compare: 1) the hospital discharge approach; 2) the TICO (Therapeutics for Inpatients with COVID-19) trials sustained recovery approach; and 3) a comprehensive approach. At the time of enrollment, all patients were hospitalized in a non-ICU setting without organ failure or major extrapulmonary manifestations of COVID-19. We defined discordance as a difference between time to recovery. Discordance between the hospital discharge and comprehensive approaches occurred in 170 (20%) of 850 enrolled participants, including 126 hospital readmissions and 24 deaths after initial hospital discharge. Discordant participants were older (median age, 68 vs. 59 years; P < 0.001) and more had a comorbidity (84% vs. 70%; P < 0.001). Of 170 discordant participants, 106 (62%) had postdischarge events captured by the TICO approach. Among patients hospitalized with COVID-19, 20% had clinically significant postdischarge events within 90 days after randomization in patients who would be considered “recovered” using the hospital discharge approach. Using the TICO approach balances length of follow-up with practical limitations. However, clinical trials of COVID-19 therapeutics should use follow-up times up to 90 days to assess clinical recovery more accurately.