The Delphi technique: myths and realities

The Delphi technique: myths and realities
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DOI:
10.1046/j.1365-2648.2003.02537.x
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发表时间:
2003-02-01
影响因子:
3.8
通讯作者:
Powell, C
Powell, C
中科院分区:
医学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Powell, C

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目的。概述德尔菲技术的关键概念和原理。方法。参考了一些说明各种方法论解释的研究。借鉴赫舒修斯的“善良标准”概念,特别强调了科学价值和评价手段的问题。结论。尽管应谨慎使用该技术,但它似乎是一种利用不同专家组对实践相关问题的意见的既定方法。
Aim. To outline the key concepts and principles of the Delphi technique.Methods. Reference is made to a selection of studies that illustrate a variety of methodological interpretations. Drawing on Heshusius's concept of 'goodness criteria', particular emphasis is given to the question of scientific merit and means of evaluation.Conclusion. Although the technique should be used with caution, it appears to be an established method of harnessing the opinions of an often diverse group of experts on practice-related problems.