DEMAND THEORIES OF THE FERTILITY TRANSITION - AN ICONOCLASTIC VIEW

DEMAND THEORIES OF THE FERTILITY TRANSITION - AN ICONOCLASTIC VIEW
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DOI:
10.1080/0032472031000142516
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发表时间:
1987-03-01
影响因子:
2.4
通讯作者:
WILSON, C
WILSON, C
中科院分区:
法学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
CLELAND, J;WILSON, C

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这篇论文挑战了一种广泛持有和有影响力的观点,即生育过渡主要是由于生育所带来的经济成本和收益的变化导致父母对孩子的需求发生变化的结果。利用历史和当代人口的证据,我们认为需求理论并没有提供一个合理的生育率转变的解释。相反,我们认为,经济转型的核心是观念上的而不是结构上的变化。特别是,我们认为,对生育控制的态度,广义上来说,起着至关重要的作用。
This paper challenges the widely held and influential view that the fertility transition is largely the consequence of changing parental demand for children brought about by changes in the economic costs and benefits entailed in childbearing. Using evidence from both historical and contemporary populations we argue that demand theories do not offer a plausible explanation of the fertility transition. Instead, we propose that ideational, rather than structural, economic change lies at the heart of the transition. In particular, we suggest that attitudes to birth control, broadly defined, play a crucial role.