Costa Rican mortality 1950-2013: An evaluation of data quality and trends compared with other countries
Costa Rican mortality 1950-2013: An evaluation of data quality and trends compared with other countries
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DOI：
10.4054/demres.2019.40.29
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发表时间：
2019-04-09
影响因子：
2.1
通讯作者：
Santamaria-Ulloa, Carolina
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Glei, Dana A.;Barbieri, Magali;Santamaria-Ulloa, Carolina
各种来源的死亡率估计数表明，哥斯达黎加人的出生时预期寿命在拉丁美洲创历史新高，比许多高收入国家的人口更长寿，尽管这些估计的可靠性还存在一些不确定性。首先，我们为哥斯达黎加构建了一个生命表系列，以评估1950年至1960年期间国家人口统计数据的质量。2013年，并确定是否可靠的死亡率估计可以直接计算从这个data.METHODSWe应用的方法，从人类死亡率数据库（HMD）的国家统计数据，构建哥斯达黎加的生命表系列，而不调整数据质量。我们还验证了我们的结果，通过内部一致性的死亡率模式和它的变化随着时间的推移，并通过外部一致性，通过比较我们的结果与那些从其他sources. OUTS我们的死亡率估计哥斯达黎加往往低于其他人，特别是在1970年之前。这些数据还产生了一种可疑的死亡率年龄模式，相对于婴儿和儿童死亡率，成人和老年人死亡率较低，使人对国家人口数据的质量产生怀疑。但很难评估现有估计的准确性。贡献这项分析提供了一个更彻底的评估数据质量问题，哥斯达黎加的死亡率高于以前的数据。1950-2013年按性别分列的未经调整的生命表作为补充材料，连同这些生命表所依据的原始数据，以及与所实施的详细方法方案的链接。
BACKGROUNDMortality estimates from various sources suggest that Costa Ricans experience record-high life expectancy at birth in Latin America and higher longevity than the populations of many high-income countries, although there is some uncertainty as to the reliability of those estimates.OBJECTIVEWe construct a life table series for Costa Rica to assess the quality of national demographic statistics for the period 1950-2013 and to determine whether reliable mortality estimates can be directly calculated from this data.METHODSWe apply the methods from the Human Mortality Database (HMD) to national statistics to construct the Costa Rica life table series without adjusting for data quality. We also validate our results through internal consistency by evaluating the plausibility of the mortality patterns and its change over time and through external consistency by comparing our results with those from other sources.RESULTSOur mortality estimates for Costa Rica tend to be lower than others, especially for the period before 1970. They also produce a suspicious age pattern of mortality, with low adult and old-age mortality relative to the infant and child mortality, casting doubt on the quality of national demographic data.CONCLUSIONSOther organizations have produced mortality estimates for Costa Rica that are higher than our unadjusted estimates, but it is difficult to evaluate the accuracy of the available estimates.CONTRIBUTIONThis analysis provides a more thorough evaluation of data quality issues regarding Costa Rica mortality than previously available. Unadjusted life tables by sex for 1950-2013 are included as supplemental material, together with the raw data upon which those life tables are based and with links to the detailed methods protocol implemented.