Modal shift implications of e-bike use in the Netherlands: Moving towards sustainability?
Modal shift implications of e-bike use in the Netherlands: Moving towards sustainability?
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荷兰电动自行车使用模式转变的影响：走向可持续发展？
DOI：
10.1016/j.trd.2019.102202
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
A. Spahn
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Qi Sun;T. Feng;A. Kemperman;A. Spahn
本文调查了荷兰背景下电动自行车用户的模式转换模式。我们关注电动自行车骑行者出行行为的变化，以评估这种变化是否有利于可持续发展。我们的研究通过使用荷兰移动小组调查的纵向数据集，为模式转变提供了直接的生态有效证据。我们研究了电动自行车骑行者在获得电动自行车之前和之后的模式转换模式。研究结果表明，采用电动自行车后，传统自行车的使用显著减少，而汽车的使用减少幅度较小。然而，在基线上，汽车公里数所占的份额远远大于传统自行车。此外，电动自行车每乘客公里的排放量比汽车低几倍。这意味着采用电动自行车后环境净收益。目前的研究还通过调查那些在使用电动自行车后更有可能少开车的电动自行车骑行者，在一个分类的层面上揭示了模式的转变。研究结果表明，50岁以下的电动自行车手和接近退休年龄（60-69岁）的人似乎更有可能下车。此外，生活在农村地区的人往往比高度城市化地区的人更有可能减少汽车的使用。根据我们的研究结果，我们提出了实现交通系统绿色转型的政策建议。
This paper investigates the modal shift patterns of e-bike users in the Dutch context. We focus on the change in e-bikers’ travel behavior to assess whether this change benefits sustainability. Our study provides direct ecologically valid evidence on modal shift by using a longitudinal dataset from the Netherlands Mobility Panel survey. We examine e-bikers’ modal shift patterns before and after acquiring an e-bike. The findings indicate that after e-bike adoptions, conventional bike use reduces significantly, while car use reduces less strongly. Nonetheless, the share of car kilometers is much larger than that of conventional bikes at the baseline. Besides, the emission rate per passenger kilometer of an e-bike is several times lower than that of a car. These imply a net environmental gain after e-bike adoptions. The present study also sheds light on modal shifts at a disaggregated level by investigating those e-bikers who are more likely to drive less after e-bike adoption. The findings suggest that e-bikers younger than 50 and those around retirement age (60–69) seem more likely to step out of their cars. Additionally, people living in rural areas tend to be more likely to reduce their car use than their counterparts in highly urbanized areas. Based on our findings, we present policy recommendations for achieving a greener shift in mobility systems.