Do College Entrance Examination Scores Predict Undergraduate GPAs? A Tale of Two Universities
Do College Entrance Examination Scores Predict Undergraduate GPAs? A Tale of Two Universities
复制标题
高考成绩能预测本科GPA吗？
DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.2304089
复制
发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Xiaoye Qian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
C. Bai;W. Chi;Xiaoye Qian
每年，数以百万计的中国高中生参加全国高考（CEE）。对于大多数学生来说，CEE分数是决定他们是否被大学录取以及进入哪所大学的唯一决定因素。本文的目的是确定是否以及如何CEE成绩预测大学学业成功。我们还考虑了高中成绩和入学途径来预测大学成绩。我们从两所排名非常不同的中国大学获得了CEE和本科GPA的管理数据。我们发现，对于这两所大学的CEE总成绩预测本科GPA在大学的所有四年。即使是对这两所大学的CEE估计的规模也是相似的。高中成绩和录取途径也是大学成绩的重要预测因素。然而，我们并没有发现一致的结果，即CEE科目考试成绩预测学生在大学的学习成绩。
Each year, millions of Chinese high school students sit the National College Entrance Examination (CEE). For the majority of students, the CEE score is the single determinant in whether they gain admission into a college and to what college they enter. The purpose of this paper is to determine whether and how well the CEE score predicts college academic success. We also consider high school achievement and admission route in predicting college grades. We obtain administrative data on CEE and undergraduate GPAs from two Chinese universities with very different rankings. We find that, for both universities the CEE total score predicts undergraduate GPAs for all four years in college. Even the size of the estimates for CEE is similar for the two universities. High school achievement and admission routes are also significant predictors of college grades. However, we do not find consistent results as to which CEE subject test scores predict students’ academic performance in college.
影响因子：
6.1
作者：
SWAMY, PAVB
通讯作者：
SWAMY, PAVB