Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Trends in Infectious Diseases
Using Prediction Markets to Forecast Trends in Infectious Diseases
复制标题
利用预测市场来预测传染病的趋势
DOI：
10.1128/microbe.1.459.1
复制
发表时间：
2006
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
G. Neumann
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
P. Polgreen;F. Nelson;G. Neumann
公共卫生机构对一些传染病和相关现象进行监测。通常，收集到的信息用于帮助公共卫生官员、研究人员和卫生保健专业人员应对和规划未来的疾病活动。然而，在许多情况下，当这些信息变得广泛可用时，它们就不再特别适用于临床目的。例如，流感监测数据在州和区域一级获得这些信息时，通常至少已有一至两周。
Public health agencies conduct surveillance for a number of infectious diseases and related phenomena. Typically, the collected information is used to help public health officials, researchers, and health care professionals cope with and plan for future disease activity. In many cases, however, such information is no longer particularly relevant for clinical purposes when it becomes widely available. For example, influenza surveillance data are usually at least one to two weeks old by the time this information is available at the state and regional levels.