Mortality risk factors among National Football League players: An analysis using player career data.
Mortality risk factors among National Football League players: An analysis using player career data.
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DOI：
10.12688/f1000research.21235.1
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发表时间：
2019-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Sanders, Shane
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Ehrlich, Justin;Kmush, Brittany;Sanders, Shane
一般来说，国家橄榄球联盟（NFL）的球员往往比一般人活得更长。然而，关于这一人群的长期死亡风险的信息很少。频繁但轻微的头部创伤可能与这组优秀运动员的早期死亡率有关。因此，职业生涯的统计数据可以作为频繁头部创伤的代表。使用Pro Football Reference的数据，我们分析了截至2018年7月1日死亡的6，408名NFL球员的死亡年龄，位置和NFL赛季之间的关联。考虑到健康工人效应的线性回归模型证明了最佳拟合统计量（F统计量= 9.95，p值= 0.0016）。在我们的两个模型中，从10.75和10.64赛季开始，死亡年龄和赛季的整体关联是积极的，这两个模型的特点是赛季和赛季的平方作为解释变量。以前的研究没有考虑到健康工人的影响，可能无法充分描述NFL球员的死亡风险。
In general, National Football League (NFL) players tend to live longer than the general population. However, little information exists about the long-term mortality risk in this population. Frequent, yet mild, head trauma may be associated with early mortality in this group of elite athletes. Therefore, career playing statistics can be used as a proxy for frequent head trauma. Using data from Pro Football Reference, we analyzed the association between age-at-death, position, and NFL seasons-played among 6,408 NFL players that were deceased as of July 1, 2018. The linear regression model allowing for a healthy worker effect demonstrated the best fit statistics (F-statistic = 9.95, p-value = 0.0016). The overall association of age-at-death and seasons-played is positive beginning at the 10.75 and 10.64 seasons-played point in our two models that feature seasons-played and seasons-played squared as explanatory variables. Previous research that does not account for the healthy worker effect may not adequately describe mortality risk among NFL players.