Reconstructing Causal Reasoning about Evidence: a Case Study

Reconstructing Causal Reasoning about Evidence: a Case Study
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重建证据的因果推理:案例研究

DOI:
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发表时间:
2001
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
S. Renooij
S. Renooij
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
H. Prakken;S. Renooij

文献摘要

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当程序支持系统要在实践中发挥作用时,它们应该为关于证据的因果推理提供支持。这种支持既应是合理的,也应是对这类系统的用户而言自然的。本文研究了这种支持的两个可能的基础,即可废止论证的逻辑和因果-溯因推理的逻辑模型。在这两种形式主义中重构了一起车祸的法院判决,并从比例和自然性两个方面对结果进行了比较。结论是,需要更多的研究来结合这两种方法的优点。
When procedural-support systems are to be useful in practice, they should provide support for causal reasoning about evidence. Such support should be both ra- tionally well-founded and natural to the users of such systems. This article studies two possible foundations for such support, logics for defeasible argumentation and logical models of causal-abductive reasoning. A court decision about a car accident is reconstructed in the two formalisms, and the results are compared on both their ratio- nality and their naturalness. It is concluded that more research is needed to combine the strong points of the two approaches.