Global supply constraints from the 2008 and COVID-19 crises

Global supply constraints from the 2008 and COVID-19 crises
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2008 年和 COVID-19 危机造成的全球供应限制

DOI:
10.1016/j.eap.2021.01.008
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发表时间:
2021
影响因子:
6.5
通讯作者:
Managi Shunsuke
Managi Shunsuke
中科院分区:
经济学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Yagi Michiyuki;Managi Shunsuke

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对具体经济指标的分析表明,2020年COVID-19危机(冠状病毒大流行,显然首先从中国武汉传播)造成的经济损失可能超过2008年9月15日左右发生的2008年全球金融危机。因此,通过比较这些危机后的前四个月,本研究的目的是估计在采矿业和制造业(M&M)部门的供应链中断(即,供应限制)的经济损失。在世界范围内采用供应驱动的投入产出模式(35个国家56个行业),结果显示,与年度国内生产总值(GDP)相比,COVID-19对整个行业的供应链损害为1.248%,M&M行业为4.443%,其他行业为0.362%,大约是2008年危机时的1.4倍。
The analysis of specific economic indexes suggests that the economic damage from the 2020 COVID-19 crisis (coronavirus pandemic, apparently first spread from Wuhan, China) may exceed that of the 2008 global financial crisis dating to around September 15, 2008. Thus, by comparing the first four months after these crises, the purpose of this study is to estimate the economic damage of the supply-chain disruptions (ie, the supply constraints) in the mining and manufacturing (M&M) sectors. Employing the supply-driven input–output (IO) model for the world (35 countries in 56 sectors), the results show that the supply-chain damage from COVID-19 is 1.248%, when compared to the annual gross domestic production (GDP), in the overall sectors, 4.443% in the M&M sectors, and 0.362% in other sectors, which are approximately 1.4 times the figures from the 2008 crisis.
供给驱动的投入产出模型:重新解释与延伸
DOI: --
发表时间: 2007
期刊: --
影响因子: --
作者:
JiYoung Park
通讯作者: JiYoung Park
日本地震造成的供应限制
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