Masanao Toda in 1951: Behavioristics and intuitive probability
Masanao Toda in 1951: Behavioristics and intuitive probability
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户田正直 1951 年：行为学和直觉概率
DOI：
10.11225/cs.2021.026
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发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
中村國則
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
中村國則
本文旨在仔细研究户田正直 (Masanao Toda) 于 1951 年发表的两篇论文的内容，一篇论述了人类行为的一般框架，另一篇则涉及直觉概率的测量。尽管户田正直被认为是日本认知科学的先驱，但他在认知科学之前的著作并不为日本认知科学界所熟悉；因此，他也是日本决策研究的先驱这一事实并没有得到充分的认可。本文展示了户田职业生涯早期发表的两篇论文的几个有趣且巧妙的特征，涉及对当时及此后研究趋势的直观判断问题。最后，本文还论证了审视户田的研究对于重新思考行为经济学和认知科学的起源的意义。
This article aims to scrutinize the contents of two papers published in 1951 by Masanao Toda, the one arguing a general framework for human behavior and the other concerning a measurement of intuitive probability. Although Masanao Toda is recognized as a pioneer of cognitive science in Japan, his works prior to those on cognitive science are not familiar to the Japanese cognitive science community; thus, the fact, that he was also a pioneer of decision-making research in Japan, is not sufficiently recognized. This paper demonstrates several interesting and ingenious features of the two papers published early in Toda's career that concern an issue of intuitive judgment in terms of research trends both in those days and since. Finally, this paper also argues for the significance of examining Toda's studies in reconsidering the origin of both behavioral economics and cognitive science.