Paper prepared for the 19th Annual Conference of ETSG, 14-16 September 2017, Florence-Italy TRADE LIBERALIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS FOR TURKEY

Paper prepared for the 19th Annual Conference of ETSG, 14-16 September 2017, Florence-Italy TRADE LIBERALIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS FOR TURKEY
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发表时间:
2017
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通讯作者:
B. Balin;H. Akan;Y. B. Altaylıgil
B. Balin;H. Akan;Y. B. Altaylıgil
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其他
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作者:
B. Balin;H. Akan;Y. B. Altaylıgil

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近几十年来,贸易自由化与环境恶化之间的关系已成为环境经济学中的一个热门问题。鉴于土耳其作为欧洲二氧化碳(CO2)排放的主要贡献者之一的立场,进行一项研究以确定二氧化碳排放的主要决定因素至关重要。本文研究了1974-2013年期间二氧化碳排放(作为环境退化的代表)、贸易开放、经济增长、能源消耗和外国直接投资之间的因果关系。采用协整和误差校正方法(ECM)的自回归分布滞后(ARDL)界检验方法来检验长期关系。长模型结果表明:(1)经济增长与CO2排放之间存在倒U型关系,(2)贸易开放对CO2排放有正向影响,(3)外国直接投资和能源消费与CO2排放呈正相关。
The relationship between trade liberalization and environmental degradation has become a popular issue in environmental economics in the last decades. In view of Turkey’s position, as one of the main contributors to carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Europe, it is vital to conduct a study to identify the main determinants of CO2 emissions. This study investigates the causal relationship between CO2 emissions (as a proxy of environmental degradation), trade openness, economic growth, energy consumption and foreign direct investment for the period 1974-2013. The long-run relationship is examined by the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration and error correction method (ECM). The results of the long model indicate that (i) the inverted U shape relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions exist, (ii) trade openness has positive impact on CO2 emissions, (iii) foreign direct investment and energy consumption are positively related to CO2 emissions.