Backlash and Legitimation: Macro Political Responses to Supreme Court Decisions

Backlash and Legitimation: Macro Political Responses to Supreme Court Decisions
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强烈反对与合法化:对最高法院判决的宏观政治反应

DOI:
10.1111/ajps.12048
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发表时间:
2014
影响因子:
4.2
通讯作者:
J. Ura
J. Ura
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
J. Ura

文献摘要

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本文是第一次尝试发展和评估的竞争性预测的民意和合法化理论的公众情绪的反应,最高法院的决定。虽然最高法院的判决的意识形态方向和公众情绪的变化之间的负面关系,合法化理论预测,情绪的变化应该是积极的最高法院的行动的意识形态内容。我评估这些竞争对手的期望建模情绪和累积的司法自由主义之间的动态关系。模型估计表明,最高法院和大众之间的复杂的互动,其特点是对最高法院的决定在情绪上的短期反弹,其次是对最高法院采取的意识形态立场的长期运动。结果强调了最高法院在美国政治中的合法性,并指出了最高法院在塑造公众舆论方面的独特作用。
This article is a first attempt to develop and assess the competing predictions of the thermostatic model of public opinion and legitimation theory for the responses of public mood to Supreme Court decisions. While the thermostatic model predicts a negative relationship between the ideological direction of Supreme Court decisions and changes in public mood, legitimation theory predicts that changes in mood should be positively associated with the ideological content of the Court's actions. I assess these rival expectations by modeling the dynamic relationship between mood and cumulative judicial liberalism. The model estimates indicate a complex interaction between the Court and the mass public characterized by short-term backlash against Supreme Court decisions in mood followed by long-run movement toward the ideological positions taken by the Court. The results emphasize the legitimacy of the Court in American politics and point to a unique role for the Court in shaping public opinion.