Electoral Laws and the Effective Number of Candidates in Presidential Elections

Electoral Laws and the Effective Number of Candidates in Presidential Elections
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选举法和总统选举候选人的有效人数

DOI:
10.2307/2647780
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发表时间:
1999
期刊:
The Journal of Politics
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
M. Jones
M. Jones
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Jones

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本研究使用了33个国家50年的数据,分析了总统候选人有效人数的制度决定因素。我发现总统选举公式-多数与多数决胜-有一个强大的和重要的影响,有效的候选人数量,从而提供了最实质性的支持,迄今为止,在总统一级的Duverger的主张。与以往的跨国研究不同,我还测试了现任总统候选人的存在或缺席的影响。任职者的存在对候选人的实际人数产生了重大的减少影响。
This study employs data from 33 countries over a 50-year period to analyze the institutional determinants of the effective number of presidential candidates. I find the presidential electoral formula-plurality versus majority runoff-to have a strong and significant impact on the effective number of candidates, thereby providing the most substantial support thus far for Duverger's propositions at the presidential level. Unlike previous cross-national studies, I also test for the effect of the presence or absence of an incumbent presidential candidate. The presence of an incumbent has a significant reductive effect on the effective number of candidates.