The baby boom and baby bust
The baby boom and baby bust
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DOI：
10.1257/0002828053828680
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发表时间：
2005-03-01
影响因子：
10.7
通讯作者：
Vandenbroucke, G
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Greenwood, J;Seshadri, A;Vandenbroucke, G
是什么导致了婴儿潮？它能在过去200年里发生的不孕症长期下降的背景下得到解释吗？假设是：（a）不孕症的长期下降是由于真实的工资的持续上涨增加了生孩子的机会成本;（B）婴儿潮是由上个世纪中期发生的家庭部门技术进步的非典型爆发来解释的。这降低了生孩子的成本。一个模型被开发出来，试图从数量上解释婴儿潮和婴儿潮。
What caused the baby boom? And can it be explained within the context of the secular decline infertility that has occurred over the last 200 years? The hypothesis is that:(a) The secular decline infertility is due to the relentless rise in real wages that increased the opportunity cost of having children;(b) The baby boom is explained by an atypical burst of technological progress in the household sector that occurred in the middle of the last century. This lowered the cost of having children.A model is developed in an attempt to account, quantitatively, for both the baby boom and bust.