A Critical Review on Employed Techniques for Short Term Load Forecasting
A Critical Review on Employed Techniques for Short Term Load Forecasting
复制标题
对短期负荷预测所采用技术的批判性回顾
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Tanuj Manglani
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Tarun Kumar Chheepa;Tanuj Manglani
1M。Tech.斋浦尔技术学院Yagyavalkya学者斋浦尔-摘要本文的目的是描述一个电力公司所覆盖的地区的小时电力负荷预测模型。电力负荷预测对于制定供电策略以提高交流电力线数据网络的可靠性至关重要。经济负荷预测在电力工业中具有重要的基础性，因为它具有许多应用，包括电力系统的能量购买、发电、负荷切换、合同评估和基础设施开发。在本文中，短期负荷预测使用依赖于参数的输入数据，如当前小时和前两个小时的负荷，当前小时和前两个小时的温度，当前小时和前两个小时的风，当前小时和前两个小时的云。电力部门的决策过程是一个复杂的过程，因为必须考虑几个不同的因素。这些包括例如设施规划和发电厂的最佳日常运营。这些决定针对的是时间范围和系统的各个方面，差别很大。因此，负荷预测是完成这些任务的重要手段。电力系统短期负荷预测是电力系统管理和控制的需要。
1M. Tech. Scholar, Yagyavalkya, Institute of Technology, Jaipur 2Professor, Yagyavalkya Institute of Technology, Jaipur ---------------------------------------------------------------------***--------------------------------------------------------------------Abstract The objective of this paper is to describe a forecasting model for hourly electricity load in the area covered by an electric utility. Electric load forecasting is essential for developing a power supply strategy to improve the reliability of the ac power line data network. Economic load forecasting is fundamentally important in electric industry as it has many applications including energy purchasing, generation, load switching, contract evaluation and infrastructure development of electrical system. In this paper, Short Term Load forecasting uses input data dependent on the parameters such as load for current hour and previous two hours, temperature for current hour and previous two hours, wind for current hour and previous two hours, cloud for current hour and previous two hours. The decision process in the electricity sector is a complex process because several different factors have to be taken into consideration. These comprise for instance the planning of facilities and an optimal day-to-day operation of the power plant. These decisions address widely different time-horizons and aspects of the system. So load forecasting is important to accomplish these tasks. Short-term load forecasting in power system is necessary for management and control of power system.