Determinants of global CO2 emissions growth
Determinants of global CO2 emissions growth
复制标题
全球二氧化碳排放增长的决定因素
DOI：
10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.06.142
复制
发表时间：
2016-12-15
期刊：
影响因子：
11.2
通讯作者：
Guan, Dabo
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Jiang, Xuemei;Guan, Dabo
本文按化石燃料类型（煤、石油或天然气）、需求类型（消费或投资）、国家组（发达国家或发展中国家）和行业组分析了全球CO2排放增长。结果表明，在三种化石燃料中，发展中国家煤炭使用的二氧化碳排放量增长最快，1995-2009年期间增加了3.76亿吨。相比之下，发达国家天然气使用的二氧化碳排放量增长最快，1995-2009年期间增加了4.7亿吨。进一步的分解表明，尽管能源效率有所提高，但发展中国家基础设施的升级和电力需求的变化导致煤炭使用的二氧化碳排放量大幅增加。在这些国家中，中国占很高的贡献，导致1995-2009年期间与煤炭使用相关的二氧化碳排放量增长高达2.79 Gt。相比之下，公共和社会服务以及化学产品的消费是推动发达国家天然气二氧化碳排放量增长的主导力量;美国的贡献非常高，导致与天然气使用相关的二氧化碳排放量增长高达1亿吨。(C)2016爱思唯尔有限公司版权所有
This paper analyzes global CO2 emissions growth by fossil fuel type (coal, oil or gas), demand type (consumption Or investment), country group (developed or developing country) and industry group. The results indicate that, among the three fossil fuels, CO2 emissions from coal use grew the most rapidly in developing countries, by 3.76 Gt in the period 1995-2009. By contrast, CO2 emissions from natural gas use grew the most rapidly in developed countries, by 470 Mt in the period 1995-2009. Further decompositions show that, despite improvements in energy efficiency, the upgrades in infrastructures and changes in electricity requirements in developing countries have led to significant CO2 emissions growth from coal use. Among these countries, China accounts for a high contribution, causing a coal use-related CO2 emissions growth of up to 2.79 Gt in the period 1995-2009. By contrast, consumption by the public and social services as well as chemical products is the dominant force driving CO2 emission growth from gas in developed countries; the US accounts for a very high,contribution, causing a gas-use related CO2 emissions growth of up to 100 Mt. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.