Whose Absentee Votes Are Counted

Whose Absentee Votes Are Counted
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谁的缺席选票被计算在内

DOI:
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发表时间:
2004
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Betsy Sinclair
Betsy Sinclair
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
R. M. Alvarez;T. Hall;Betsy Sinclair

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缺席投票在美国越来越普遍。虽然有一些研究集中在谁缺席投票,很少有研究考虑到缺席投票的另一个重要问题:哪些缺席选票被计算,哪些不被计算?2000年总统选举后的研究已经研究了选区选民的未计票问题,但没有研究缺席选民的问题。为了研究哪些缺席选票被计算在内,我们使用了来自美国最大、最多元化的投票管辖区--洛杉矶县--2002年11月大选的数据。我们开发了三个假设的可能性,各种类型的选票将被计算,我们测试与我们独特的缺席投票数据集。我们发现,与一般缺席投票人口相比,制服服务人员,海外平民和语言少数民族选民的选票不被计算的可能性要高得多。最后,我们讨论了我们的研究对当前关于缺席投票的争论的影响。
Absentee voting is becoming more prevalent throughout the United States. While there has been some research focused on who votes by absentee ballot, little research has considered another important question about absentee voting: Which absentee ballots are counted, and which are not? Research following the 2000 presidential election has studied the problem of uncounted ballots for precinct voters, but not for absentee voters. To study which absentee ballots are counted we use data from Los Angeles County – the nation’s largest and most diverse voting jurisdiction – for the November 2002 general election. We develop three hypotheses regarding the likelihood that various types of ballots will be counted, which we test with our unique absentee voting dataset. We find that uniform service personnel, overseas civilians, and language minority voters have a much higher likelihood that their ballots will not be counted compared with the general absentee voting population. We conclude our paper with a discussion of the implications of our research for the current debates about absentee voting.